Forecasters Weigh in on MT-Sen
Pundits and prognosticators sounded off on the Montana U.S. Senate race in the Billings Gazette this morning. The reviews came back very positive for the Tester campaign.
Larry Sabato:
“Burns simply has too many problems - from President Bush and the Iraq war to the lobbying scandal and his own uncontrollable tongue,” Sabato wrote on his Web site. “Burns will be exceptionally lucky to come out of his tailspin and win another term. Tester’s image seems just right for Montana voters, and Burns’ efforts to label Tester a left-wing liberal have not taken hold, at least not so far.”
Stuart Rothenberg:
“We have become convinced that the national environment is not going to improve for Republicans, that the strong desire for change we’ve been seeing is not going to abate and that Tester is running a pretty good campaign,” Rothenberg said.
I read all of these reports with a grain of salt. It’s tough to predict the weather in November from the situation at the end of August. That said, I like Jennifer Duffy’s long-range, 70-day forecast:
As for Schumer’s contention that Democrats nationally have the advantage in the current climate, Duffy said, “I’d rather be them than Republicans, that’s for sure. I think the wind is at their back.”
Posted on Wednesday, August 30th, 2006 at 8:06 pm. You can skip to the end and leave a response. Pinging is currently not allowed.
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